【2024-06-29 09:16】根据 QCP Capital 在官方频道发布的消息，比特币在今年二季度的强劲支撑位预计在 58,000 美元至 60,000 美元之间。然而，市场面临着 Mt. Gox 解锁带来的巨大供应压力以及政府机构的抛售。 QCP Capital 认为，这些供应压力可能被夸大，市场将在一定范围内横盘整理。比特币可能会测试较低水平，预计会在全球监管放松和传统金融兴趣持续增加的环境中找到支撑。此外，ETH 现货 ETF 仍被视为利好因素，有望在7月初上市交易。同时，SOL 等其他主要数字货币的现货 ETF 上市也可能引发一些兴奋。
### Market Analysis by QCP Capital
#### Bitcoin Price Support and Market Dynamics
- **Second Quarter Support Levels:** QCP Capital suggests strong support for Bitcoin in the range of $58,000 to $60,000 for Q2 of this year.
- **Supply Pressure Concerns:** The market faces significant supply pressure due to the impending Mt. Gox Bitcoin unlock and government agency sell-offs.
- **QCP Capital's View:** QCP Capital believes that these supply pressures may be exaggerated, expecting the market to consolidate within a certain range.
- **Potential Downside Testing:** Bitcoin might test lower levels amidst these pressures but is anticipated to find support amid relaxed global regulations and increasing interest from traditional finance.
#### Ethereum and Other Cryptocurrencies
- **ETH Spot ETF:** The imminent launch of an Ethereum spot ETF is viewed positively, potentially commencing trading in early July.
- **Impact of ETFs:** The introduction of ETFs for other major cryptocurrencies like SOL (Solana) could also spark market excitement and interest.
### Conclusion
QCP Capital's insights highlight a nuanced market outlook where Bitcoin faces immediate supply challenges but retains potential support from regulatory developments and institutional interest. The forthcoming introduction of ETH and other cryptocurrency ETFs adds a layer of optimism, potentially influencing market sentiment positively in the coming months. 
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